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Sam Lessin on Startups & Entrepreneurship

Sam Lessin's insights on building startups, product development, founder lessons, and entrepreneurship from founding Drop.io and Fin.

Essays

experiences' airbnb, farming, brokers

More or Less - Airbnb Experiences, Again ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ) How could we not talk about this fun… I still stand by the fact that if they really wanted to make this work they should obviously do it as a partnership with Onlyfans ( https://x.com/lessin/status/1923167945531720103 ) - wheth...


Scale, Sambot, Harvard Reunion

More or Less / Scale.ai, Apple & The New Economics of Talent ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This was a substanative week — the ‘lipstick on a pig’ of ‘liquid glass’ (btw, all glass is liquid) — Scale ai hist...


Socialism Blowback + Hiring & Sourcing in Age of AI...

Lettermeme.com: --------------- Indexing What Smart People Think Now… | Last summer I slapped together hearsay.email — back in the same cabin I was in, I went for a refresh… and it has been really really fun. I would urge you to check out what I have put together here — lots of people have done the...


Meet the M...eta-Yankees

Happy 4th of July The best holiday… and always enjoy the MZ antics ( https://www.instagram.com/p/DLsv5Toh44g/ ) and more antics ( https://www.instagram.com/p/DLuvQ5UR0n5/ ). More or Less / The Meta-Yankees & AI Researcher Spring Training ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9WdW8Qgn-iU&t=1272s ) -----...


Elon 'Zaphod' Musk and AI pragmatism

More or Less ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ) 2024 Reflections & ’25 Predictions… this year AI got practical and less religious… we debate what was the ‘company of the year’ Morins are long google… Lessins Facebook (and honestly twitter) Some Other Hot Takes: * Elon ‘Zaphod’ Musk… deserves credit. (...


The 2025 Gameplan, Free Speech, and Degen Investing

More or Less ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ) Our first episode of 2025. We discuss CES, the Meta changes to content moderation (of course), Florence Marine and Landman. Some Other Hot Takes: * Personal 2024 Wrap Up and 2025 Gameplan ( https://x.com/lessin/status/1870878441547149753 ) — I feel prett...


Sora, United Health, Survivability of Seed Capital

More or Less ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ) Listen in for hot takes / debates on (1) Sora won’t help creators, just another war-of-attrition tool for attention (2) AI digital drugs (3) Lessons from Fin (artificial artificial intelligence from a decade ago) about the economics of agents / why the rea...


Monster F-it Funding Rounds, Golf Curious VC

More or Less ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ): OpenAI 'VC' monster money (but big tech co chump change), Apple, Japan, and VCs congratulating themselves — We talk about this OpenAI bananas fundraise (because how could we not)… and run through a variety of arguments about if Japan is cool or not, if Ap...


AI Earnings, Harvard Wins

Things I spent time thinking about this week / talking about: More or Less ( https://linktr.ee/moreorlesspod ): The Q2 AI investor story - coming home to roost … long Meta, maybe Google… short everything else (with due meme-stock caveats) — For 18+ months now I have been saying the place to be long...


Election Thoughts...

More or Less ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ): Election Media Strategy Debrief & A Vercel AI convo — Of course we talk about the election…. How could you not - but with our twist on the tech and media angle — what the democrats are missing about modern communication strategy, implications for journali...


Fwd Health, VC Regatta Model, Value Seed Investing

More or Less ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ): Winding Down Forward Health with Adrian Aoun — I missed this MOL because I was in NYC for Slow’s AGM, but our friend Adrian joined to talk about the Forward Health journey.. and ‘big shots on goal’ — personally I am in the camp of deeply deeply appreciati...


WTFVC 2025, Anti-Trust, and Ruck Rock

The State of VC in 2025 (an updated opus) ( https://x.com/lessin/status/1914450043425427506 ) In 2023 I did this version -- updated (finally) 2 years later.  The biggest points / TLDR is here -- but the really really short version is that the capital 'factory' model of VC is broken forever, ‘zombic...


Slow Creator I, Merit First, and Memes

More or Less: Elon’s $97B Bid & More on Memes ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ) We discuss Elon’s $97B bid for the OpenAI nonprofit and the Altman clap-backs as cultural moments / new style all out lols-warfare… some thoughts on how broken google maps is, and some discussion of slow creator fund 1 $6...


Founder Mode, Packy and Harry discoveries...

Things I spent time thinking about this week / talking about: More or Less ( https://linktr.ee/moreorlesspod ): Founder Mode…. Vs. ‘Manager Mode’ (airbnb vs. uber vs. snap) Vs. Part-Time-Founder Mode (twitter)… we discuss where this thinking is appropriate vs. not & most importantly the technologic...


AI Pokemon (catch'em all) & Hierarchy of Business Models

More or Less / AI Pokemon 'Gotta Catch 'Em All' ( https://moreorlesspod.com/ ) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ This week we discuss the game of AI Pokemon that all the tech leaders are playing... who is gonna 'catch 'em all' -- we also discuss where / ...


From the Podcast

I just don't, I don't, I don't think that's gonna, I mean, my personal view is this is the real conundrum is Dave, what you're describing. I love entrepreneurs too. I obviously backed them. I think they're great. Let's pretend I am not worried about the top 1 % of anything of intelligence, of drive or whatever. They're going to be fine. They're going to figure out how to build cool businesses and things on top of platforms will make it easier and more efficient for them. Whatever. I think the question is what happens to the P 50 P 75 people, right? You're smart. You're not the smartest. You're driven. You're not the most driven. There's like, that's most people by definition. And the problem is, is that of all of a sudden, I don't need anyone to build my super good idea. I can just do it on my own, which is super fun for me. Then the problem is, is that like, it creates this dynamic where like, I actually do think it's a real problem. It basically says that if you were exceptional, you're going to do great. And so the question is, your only option is to try to create an economy where everyone is an exceptional at something. And therefore everyone can be in the top 1 % of what they're doing, which I think is extremely difficult to do. Or you have this fundamental problem, which is you just need so many fewer people and so much less labor, both physical and mental to do anything that you don't take anyone along for the ride.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 139

You can't make any money on those. And the reason you can't make any money on those is because with open access, someone will always overbid or overprice. It just doesn't work. So it turns out that when markets get too efficient, they're bad businesses. And technology and AI makes markets efficient. The only way to have a good business, the only way to do a good venture deal is to have proprietary deal flow. You need a dark pool of deals that no one else knows about or dark pool of founders that no one else knows about or access that no one else has that's sustainable and ideally compact. And I think we're going to see this in a lot of things. We're like, the internet was all about bringing liquidity to marketplaces saying, okay, there is this inefficient market and we're going to make it more efficient and make money on it by effectively aggregating demand, supply and demand and hosting the market. I think that goes to zero value because it's too efficient and everything becomes in a company building sense about forget the software, forget the market story. It's all about can you own and control dark pools of value effectively? and then monetize them consistently.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 139

It's just power though. It's like, don't, hear you David, like I was with another entrepreneur of ours recently who's spending hundreds of millions of dollars a year right now on like all the LLMs, right? Like they, yeah, they're spending hundreds of millions of dollars a year run rate on inference, right? And

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 139

Like you have nothing and like, I applaud our willingness to act. So it kind of like, it's, know what it is? You know what it is? It's kind of like, you know, I was talking to some entrepreneurs the day, but like, I think this is kind of a Silicon Valley narrative that's been built up and people keep repeating, which is not like the future belongs to people who just do shit or like take initiative. Right. think that is a hundred percent true. It's like, when you're looking for people to hire, you'll people work with it's like.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep more_or_less_indian_wells_2026_03

And so we were talking to a bunch of entrepreneurs and saying, hey, just do us a favor and give us kind of like some nice things you remember about us and our interactions and found it. And so you basically, had two days of people being like, and LPs saying nice things on camera with me. like, this feels great. I'm like, wait a minute, I can just automate this. I can have flattery all the time, right? From characters that are in my life. And the nice part is with your real voice is it sounds great.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep more_or_less_indian_wells_2026_03

If Brian Chesky had, if he had balls, they'd do a partnership with OnlyFans and they'd crush it. If they just were like, find a local prostitute, that would be easily a billion dollars, right? Like, but they don't have balls, because he's not really in founder mode, right? um

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 99

I don't know. I think the interesting thing look back on in 10 years will be all these huge secondaries. Like what is the correlation? Not causation necessarily, but correlation between people taking big ass early secondaries as founders and outcomes. We'll see.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 99

I don't know. mean, it's also like this whole thing. Sometimes, sometimes founders have this thing where like they want all these fancies investors on the cap table, but they can't fit them and they can't make decisions because they don't have balls. So they end up like take trying to like fit six fancy investors in the space for only one. And it's just a negative leadership signal that you can't make decisions and like you're not a good leader. like

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 99

Well, I think that does for sure happen with startups, but I'd actually argue usually when companies are getting offered that much money to the point that like you literally can't up the price reasonably and you have nowhere to put it. And you're like, I don't even think this is a responsible to take. That's usually a sign of a massively overhyped company that's going to crash and burn. Right? Not always like, no, you're just fucked. uh

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 99

It really needed that G650. mean, I don't know. I personally think that's very, the question to run, which I think will take years to figure out, is what is the history of companies where the founders cashed out meaningfully early? Do any of them succeed? My bet is they don't, right? My bet is that, well, that's the question. I mean, I don't have a problem with some founder taking a few million bucks over walking around money, but if they, tens of millions, hundreds of millions of dollars early,

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 99

depends how much and if they have money. I mean, like, I think the story of, hey, I'm a founder, I literally have no money, like, and I want to send my kids to private school and I'm gonna be in this for 20 years and so I need a few million bucks doesn't stress me out. But if they're already rich and or like,

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 99

Yeah, 100%. Like I actually, here's the thing, I have an offer. Anyone who's on the OpenAI board who's listening to this, I'm gonna send you a free Founders Edition Ruck Rock. You tell me. Any fancy board, free Ruck Rocks on me.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 97

My friend, chat GPT to generate, um, you know, the, the workouts and kind of the videos. think it looks really good. You can see all the kind of use cases like, you might be out of a brunch with your lady friends and you have your rock rock or, know, in a board meeting, you'd have your rock rock. So the founders edition is $200. Uh, you can buy it at the rock rock.com. I've sold many actually, and I'm just working on fulfilling it. Well, the good news is that we do all American rocks, so there's no importing.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 97

Well, it's they took it down, which I actually was the right everyone's like, why do you I was like, actually, think it's exactly initially I saying you can't in 2025 apologize. Like it's the PR 101 is you do not apologize. So you just take it down and you move on, which I think was the right move because it was clearly an incredibly stupid piece of media. Now I will say Anatoly who's awesome today actually put out a tweet. He's he's the technical founder. He's like the fact that the guy the genius behind Solana it's like Raj and Anatoly.

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 91

They haven't I'm gonna say no they have not you can go either nice part of me is I write everything out so you can look at my thing from two years ago and I said the big guy platforms are gonna win and Tiny tiny companies they get more efficient gonna win and everyone else is fucked that is what's played out and you shouldn't invest in startups. I'd say

— Sam Lessin, More or Less Ep 90

Tweets

I am legit curious what will happen to tech culture if this LK-99 thing plays out and the entire GPU supply pivots to be only focused on fusion power plants, space rail guns, and batteries instead of whatever stupid applications startups are working on now.

August 03, 2023 · 1068 likes · link

Is @elonmusk's relationship with twitter that different than tesla in his own mind? sure he owns more of tesla (17% vs 9%) but not dramatically. in both cases he comes in non-founder investor, & then leads by making a bunch of product oriented claims on the internet ;)

April 10, 2022 · 1029 likes · link

We need to stop calling financing all software startups ‘venture capital’ when it is just plain old ‘private equity’... https://t.co/FTMybu2xf3

June 14, 2021 · 941 likes · link

Updating the founder archetype for 2025… https://t.co/NtWe8ugzD0

January 22, 2025 · 879 likes · link

Cowboys, Craftsmen, and Visionaries — The Three Founder Archetypes. https://t.co/TIKeG51OFc

August 01, 2023 · 541 likes · link

Silicon Valley Startup Culture & Startup Infrastructure is Designed for 20 Year Olds…, Not 40 Year Olds https://t.co/7P4TBDc296

July 20, 2023 · 517 likes · link

The AI winners will be a 3-5 Trillion dollar companies, and 10,000+ small business entrepreneurs - not the "middle" https://t.co/IAT6ygykb0

June 19, 2024 · 495 likes · link

Startup Founders — This Week is a Wakeup Call — Demand To Know The LPs of Your VCs; Do Not Find Yourself Accidentally Delivering Returns for People Who Spend it To Murder Civilians. https://t.co/ZZtjfhiWQx

October 10, 2023 · 494 likes · link

Introducing Slow Creator Fund I -- Backing a New Generation of Community-First Entrepreneurs. https://t.co/NwpZeuFXvf

February 12, 2025 · 451 likes · link

If Startup Equity Was Traded Like Crypto … https://t.co/0Ibn8Bjc1E

May 23, 2021 · 422 likes · link

It is under-appreciated how critical the AWS/ 'cloud' is in COVID period. without it, none of the services that have become critical could scale up with demand, and other startups now facing zero demand couldn't turn down costs and survive (vs bleeding out on infra costs)

April 04, 2020 · 403 likes · link

VCs are the ‘tenured professors’ of the startup world… and just like professors, they can use that status well or very very poorly — especially if they are young. https://t.co/kCGGbEcDPr

August 28, 2023 · 385 likes · link

Startups are like running ultra-marathons… but without a set end-line / instead you choose when you stop running— this is mentally the most brutal thing imaginable. https://t.co/r3TnxduMPR

August 18, 2023 · 347 likes · link

As i have been saying for a year -- LLMs / AI, great for incumbents - not for startups ... Spotify implementing translation vs this being a "startup" is perfect case study... leverage AI, but if you base your startup dream on "AI" you are going to zero fast. https://t.co/9r8PJEa74v

September 26, 2023 · 344 likes · link

What is the biggest / most successful startup that did remote-only / remote primary engineering team buildout from the start?

August 01, 2019 · 281 likes · link

The Real Problem For Founders in Crypto ‘Winter’ Isn’t Gonna Be Running Out Of Money… It Is Going To Be Staying Sane / Not Giving Up. https://t.co/7LdKRLIFxa

December 22, 2022 · 254 likes · link

NetJets for Farms — Request for Startup https://t.co/8jAdJyey0A

August 19, 2023 · 248 likes · link

As i have been saying for weeks... AI, great for big companies with existing distribution, but no - not an opportunity for startups or VCs. This is going just as expected :) https://t.co/C0IKbIZ7YO

February 01, 2023 · 237 likes · link

’Founder Mode’ doesn’t exist in a vacuum… it is a modern tech driven phenomenon where you can drop ‘middle management’ — it wasn't historically viable (in fact, middle management WAS a technology last generation ago!) https://t.co/tpNPAKk7T3

September 02, 2024 · 206 likes · link

A lot of really really talented multi-time successful entrepreneurs seem to be in the earliest days of 'newco' formation in crypto. I take this as a deeply bullish overall sign -- the grilled veterans special ops folks are landing on the beaches.

September 01, 2021 · 188 likes · link